Global Guardian Executive Vice President Seth Krummrich joined NewsNation to assess the significance of the U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding and what the road ahead looks like for a durable peace.

On 14 June, the U.S. and Iran agreed to an interim agreement to extend the ceasefire by 60 days. Pakistan’s Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif announced the deal after mediation by Pakistan and Qatar. President Trump and Vice President JD Vance have reportedly both electronically signed the framework agreement with Iran’s lead negotiator and Speaker of Parliament Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. The Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) is expected to be signed by VP Vance and Speaker Ghalibaf on 19 June in Geneva, Switzerland. 

MORE THAN 50 IRANIAN MILITARY BASES DAMAGED IN US STRIKES SINCE THE START OF WAR, SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW

Global Guardian Head of Research and Intelligence Zev Faintuch contributed analysis to BBC Verify's investigation into the scale of damage to Iranian military bases since the start of the war.

"Iran's ability to defend itself stems less from its conventional forces, such as its air force, than from its capacity to conduct counterstrikes via missiles or drones."

Despite extensive damage to more than 50 Iranian military bases—including IRGC headquarters and key naval facilities—Faintuch's assessment underscores that Iran retains meaningful strike capability, and that the conflict's trajectory remains far from settled.

CUBA | UKRAINE & RUSSIA | Southeast Asia

In Global Guardian's monthly Risk Barometer, our Intelligence Team highlights current global hotspots with the potential to impact your business operations and travel. Read below for analysis on the threats we are closely monitoring this month and click here to subscribe for regular intelligence updates.

The current no war no peace paradigm is becoming increasingly unstable. The past two weeks have seen kinetic exchanges between the U.S. and Iran, and now Iran and Israel every two to three days. Iran has shown that it will attack Israel to defend Hezbollah, attack U.S. bases in the Gulf in response to U.S. attacks on its territory, and attack vessels navigating the Strait of Hormuz that do not use its "toll booth" system or in response to U.S. blockade enforcement activities.

NEW REPORT IDENTIFIES UNPRECEDENTED WORLD CUP SECURITY RISKS

Global Guardian's 2026 World Cup Security Report was featured in TravelPulse, which examined the unprecedented security risks facing attendees as the tournament gets underway across the United States, Canada, and Mexico.

"Opportunistic crime is the primary security risk to World Cup travelers across all host metro areas. These offenses are generally unplanned; criminals identify potential victims shortly before acting."

The report covers all three host countries across a range of threat categories—from general crime and civil unrest to terrorism and extreme weather—giving organizations and travelers a comprehensive picture of what to expect in each host city.

Global Guardian Executive Vice President Seth Krummrich joined NewsNation to discuss the state of U.S.-Iran negotiations, the role of internal pressure inside Iran, and what a realistic path to resolution might look like.

100 DAYS OR IRAN WAR: WINNERS AND LOSERS

Global Guardian Head of Research and Intelligence Zev Faintuch contributed analysis to Newsweek as the Iran war reached its 100-day mark, weighing in on how the conflict has reshaped the strategic landscape across the region.

"Iran has been able to form a pretty strong linkage between negotiations with the United States and the situation in Lebanon."

That linkage, Faintuch noted, is complicating the path toward resolution on both fronts. With negotiations still in flux and conditions on the ground continuing to shift, the strategic picture remains far from settled.