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Global Guardian's Tomás Michael Carvallo Featured in Reuters

A TALE OF TWO BUILDINGS: HOW QUAKE RESCUE EFFORTS DIFFERED IN COLOMBIA AND VENEZUELA

Global Guardian Senior Intelligence Analyst Tomás Michael Carvallo was featured in Reuters coverage comparing earthquake rescue efforts in Colombia and Venezuela, describing the operational gap our team encountered on the ground in each country.

"A lot of the immediate search and rescue efforts fell to civilians who were really not equipped to move concrete and collapsed buildings."

Carvallo, whose team helped relocate or support oil, gas, and financial sector clients in both countries following the quakes, told Reuters that heavy machinery was unavailable when staff arrived in Venezuela, forcing civilians into rescue roles they weren't equipped for. The article contrasts that experience with a faster, more coordinated official response in Colombia following the August 2026 earthquake in Cali.

 

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Global Guardian's Seth Krummrich Featured on NewsNation

Global Guardian Executive Vice President Seth Krummrich joined NewsNation to discuss how far the U.S. and Iran remain from a resolution, and the specific indicators shaping the standoff over the Strait of Hormuz and Bab al-Mandeb.

"Never underestimate Iran. No one's done more with less than the Iranians."

Krummrich pointed to oil prices as a real-time barometer, noting that Brent crude falling below $80 while the Strait remains disrupted would signal Iran's strategy is failing, while a rise above $95 would strengthen its position. He also flagged Bab al-Mandeb as the bigger long-term risk, citing a drop from three to one large crude carriers transiting the route daily and the dramatic cost of rerouting around the Cape of Good Hope instead.

 

 

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August Risk Barometer

EL NIÑO | INDIA

In Global Guardian's monthly Risk Barometer, our Intelligence Team highlights current global hotspots with the potential to impact your business operations and travel. Read below for analysis on the threats we are closely monitoring this month and click here to subscribe for regular intelligence updates.

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Strait of Hormuz Remains Gridlocked

On 11 August, the Secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council made it clear that Iran remains steadfast in keeping the Strait of Hormuz closed until the U.S. ends the blockade, releases frozen funds, and conflict ends in Lebanon and Gaza. The statement comes two days after Trump told Axios news that he is prepared to let economic pressure build on Iran, rather than ordering a new military offensive.

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Global Guardian's Seth Krummrich Featured on NewsNation

Global Guardian Executive Vice President Seth Krummrich joined NewsNation to discuss the state of U.S.-Iran negotiations and what economic pressure, rather than further military strikes, signals about the path forward.

"The administration is choosing to leverage economic pressure over additional military strikes."

Krummrich noted that sanctions and blockades appear designed to force Iran's economy and regime back to the negotiating table, and pointed to the Iran-Oman management of the Strait of Hormuz and to Yemen as two indicators to watch closely, since Iran could disrupt oil flow to both Asia and Europe if it escalates there. He also flagged the risk that a widely reported U.S. munitions shortage could embolden hardliners within Iran's political system.

 

 

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Global Guardian's Colin O'Brien Featured in Security Management

SHORT RANGE, HIGH IMPACT: HOW DRONE WARFARE IS CHANGING WORKER SAFETY IN UKRAINE

Global Guardian Senior Vice President Colin O'Brien was featured in Security Management, ASIS International's publication, in an article examining how short-range drone attacks are reshaping worker safety for humanitarians and civilians in Ukraine.

O'Brien, who previously built drone safety protocols for the U.S. Institute of Peace (USIP) before joining Global Guardian, described how proper threat mapping breaks a country down into risk tiers. "Here's your no-go zones, here's your better-be-really-careful zones... and here's the ones where you're pretty safe."

The article also details how Global Guardian briefs clients operating in regions like Mexico on drone-based surveillance risks, helping them limit visibility and exposure to reconnaissance threats.

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U.S. Walks Back Major Escalation Threats

Over the weekend, President Trump announced that the "perimeters of a deal" on the Strait of Hormuz had been agreed to, and that he suspended planned major strikes at the request of Iran and "other Middle Eastern countries" to allow for further negotiations. This was the second weekend in a row where major strikes were called off. Reporting from Reuters suggests U.S. interceptor stockpiles are running low and could be why the escalatory strikes were called off, as the U.S. would not be in a strong position to defend its assets or allies in the region.

  • Global Guardian maintains that firms should reconsider non-essential travel to the region as "escalation whiplash" remains constant.
  • A resumption of Iranian strikes on infrastructure in the region is possible. This could include the targeting of airports, hotels, power plants, desalination plants, and petroleum facilities across Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states, especially if the U.S. does carry out a previously threatened "massive attack."
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Global Guardian's Seth Krummrich Featured on ABC News

TRUMP QUESTIONS IRAN'S ROLE IN ATTACK ON US WATER SYSTEM

Global Guardian Executive Vice President Seth Krummrich joined ABC News to break down Iran's expanding regional posture, a suspected cyberattack on a Minnesota water system, and what the shifting threat picture means for organizations operating in the Gulf.

Krummrich pointed to Iran flexing its regional proxies, including recent Houthi activity and a strike near Egypt's Damietta port, and warned that Iran appears to be signaling it can disrupt all three major Gulf maritime chokepoints. "Iran is clearly expanding the war."

He also noted that threats to critical infrastructure like water and power systems extend well beyond Iran, and cautioned against attributing the Minnesota incident before a full investigation. 

 

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Global Guardian's Seth Krummrich Featured on ABC News

MIDDLE EAST TENSIONS RAISE FEARS OF A WIDER REGIONAL CONFLICT

Global Guardian Executive Vice President Seth Krummrich joined ABC News today to assess the rapidly widening conflict in the Middle East and what the escalation means for global commerce, U.S. strategy, and organizations operating in the region.

"There hasn't been this much global conflict with these number of countries since World War II."

Krummrich assessed that the conflict has crossed into regional war territory, with simultaneous pressure on the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab al-Mandab creating compounding disruptions to global commerce and making sound business decisions increasingly difficult for organizations worldwide. 

 

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Global Guardian's Seth Krummrich Featured on CNBC

IRAN SAYS IT WILL 'PUNISH THE AGGRESSOR TODAY' AFTER 'HEAVY WAVE' OF U.S. STRIKES

Global Guardian Executive Vice President Seth Krummrich was quoted in CNBC as U.S. forces completed a major wave of strikes against Iran overnight and Tehran's Revolutionary Guard threatened further escalation.

Krummrich assessed that Iran's decision to strike American forces first—breaking the pattern of responding only to U.S. action—signals a significant shift in posture.

The move suggests Iran intends to "respond more aggressively to future U.S. military action and may be moving away from diplomacy," he said, with critical civilian infrastructure including airports, power grids, desalination plants, and Gulf energy facilities potentially back in the crosshairs.

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