Over the last week, diplomatic efforts have continued amid a marked increase in kinetic activity. U.S. President Donald Trump remains committed to reopening the Strait of Hormuz through a temporary memorandum of understanding (MOU) but needs terms—including on the nuclear file—that can be presented domestically as a political victory. While neither the United States nor Iran appears to seek a return to high-intensity conflict, Iran is increasing military pressure by stepping up its responses to U.S. blockade enforcement, raising the risk of miscalculation.
On 02 June, the United States disabled the Botswana‑flagged oil tanker M/T Lexie near the Strait of Hormuz while it was bound for Iran. In response, Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) said it targeted a vessel identified as the Panaya with missiles. The U.S. later struck an IRGC communications facility on Qeshm Island. Iran then launched several waves of drone and missile attacks on Kuwait and Bahrain. The strikes caused significant damage to Terminal 1 of Kuwait International Airport (KWI), killing one person, injuring 63, and prompting authorities to suspend commercial flights. According to Kuwait’s Ministry of Defense, since the night of 02 June, Kuwaiti Air Defense Forces have intercepted a total of 13 ballistic missiles and 17 one-way attack drones launched at the country by Iran. Bahrain authorities reported that at least three missiles and several drones were intercepted, and U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) confirmed that the U.S. Fifth Fleet headquarters was not hit.
The 02 June exchange marked the third and most violent cycle of tit-for-tat attacks in the last week and resulted in a temporary airspace closure over Kuwait and Bahrain.
On 02 June, under mediation by regional states and a reportedly tense phone call between U.S. President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel pledged not to attack Beirut if Hezbollah stopped attacking northern Israel. Meanwhile, after 24 hours of compliance, on 03 June, Hezbollah launched drones into northern Israel, violating the most recent ceasefire arrangement.
Historically, Israel maintains its deterrence formula with counterstrikes. It is unclear how Iran would respond to an Israeli attack on Dahiyah (southern Beirut) but the linkage of the Lebanon front to the broader U.S.–Iran conflict is a priority for Iran.
Situation report
- 03 June: Lebanese Hezbollah launches drones into northern Israel.
- 02 June: The USS Boxer (LHD-4) and its 11th Marine Expeditionary Unit (MEU) that were originally ordered to the Arabian Sea departed Singapore for the South China Sea.
- 02 June: Per AFP, Hezbollah rejects the partial ceasefire with Israel.
- 01 June: President Donald Trump and Lebanon's Embassy in Washington announce a partial ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah.
- 01 June: IRGC threatens activation of "other fronts, including the Bab al-Mandab Strait" in response to Israeli actions in Lebanon.
- 01 June: IRGC-affiliated Tansim News Agency reports that Iran suspended Pakistan-mediated talks with the U.S. over Israeli operations in Lebanon and Gaza. The claim is denied by other Iranian sources and by President Trump.
- 01 June: An Israeli Army spokesperson ordered the evacuation of Dahiyah (southern suburbs of Beirut). Hundreds are reported fleeing the area.
- 01 June: The Panama-flagged MSC SARISKA V is struck by an Iranian cruise missile off the coast of Iraq.
- 31 May: U.S. forces intercept two Iranian ballistic missiles targeting American forces based in Kuwait.
- 31 May: U.S. sends amended MOU to Iran.
- 30 May: U.S. forces conduct “self-defense strikes” on Iranian radar and command and control sites for drones on the islands of Goruk and Qeshm.
- 29 May: U.S. forces disable a Gambia-flagged vessel bound for Iran.
- 29 May: Following a White House Situation Room meeting, President Trump lays out conditions for a deal on Truth Social, including a zero-nuclear-weapons commitment.
- 28 May: Axios reports that U.S. and Iranian negotiators reached an agreement on 60-day MOU, pending respective leaders' final approval.
- 28 May: Kuwaiti forces intercept an Iranian ballistic missile targeting a U.S. airbase.
- 27 May: U.S. military conducts a strike on a drone launch site in Iran after shooting down multiple drones that were allegedly threatening maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz.
Airspace Status
- Bahrain: airspace restricted
- Iran: airspace restricted
- Kuwait: airspace restricted
- Cyprus: airspace open
- Egypt: airspace open
- Iraq: airspace open
- Israel: airspace open
- Jordan: airspace open
- Lebanon: airspace open
- Oman: airspace open
- Qatar: airspace open
- Saudi Arabia: airspace open
- Syria: airspace open
- UAE: airspace open
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