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Horizontal Escalation Continues

The conflict continues to expand horizontally as two Iranian drones struck Azerbaijan's Nakhchivan exclave. According to local officials, one drone hit a terminal building at Nakhchivan International Airport (NAJ), about 6 miles from the Iranian border, while another landed near a school in a nearby village, with the injured reported in stable condition. Azerbaijan's President Aliyev says his country will not participate in offensive operations against Iran, though this incident comes after Azerbaijan canceled military leave and deployed troops to the border.

Meanwhile, the Israel–Lebanon front is expanding. Hezbollah has increased the volume and pace of its attacks on Israel, especially in the north. Israel is advancing in southern Lebanon, and the first direct ground clashes were reported on 04 March.

Energy remains the focal point of the conflict. With the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed (90% reduction in transit), supply storage is nearing capacity in Iraq. In approximately one week, if present conditions continue, Iraq will need to halt oil production. Two more tankers were attacked over the last 24 hours off the coast of Iraq and Oman. Qatar is fully shutting down their liquid natural gas operations. It’s estimated that it would take about two weeks to restart operations, and at least two more weeks to return to full capacity.

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Global Guardian's Colin O'Brien Featured on NewsNation

“When Saturday morning occurred and the first missiles were fired, our teams were immediately activated.”

As governments and private organizations worked to move people out of the Middle East amid ongoing missile and drone attacks, Global Guardian Deputy Vice President of Operations Colin O’Brien joined NewsNation to discuss how evacuation operations are unfolding across the region.

O’Brien explained that Global Guardian teams began moving clients across land borders into safer locations, noting that restricted airspace and shifting visa requirements continue to complicate evacuation routes.

 

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Global Guardian's Dale Buckner Featured on NBC News Now

“Once you’re 30 minutes outside of the city center, your risk drops by over 90%.”

As travelers and business personnel across the Middle East sought ways to leave the region amid escalating conflict and widespread airspace closures, Global Guardian CEO Dale Buckner joined NBC News’ Now with Tom Llamas to discuss how private evacuation operations are helping people move out of affected areas.

Buckner explained that successful evacuations depend on careful journey management—moving clients out of city centers, coordinating ground transport to border crossings and securing onward flights as conditions evolve.

 

 

WATCH INTERVIEW

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Global Guardian's Dale Buckner Featured on NBC News

“Simply put, in a combat zone, if you are mobile and you are willing to move, or you do move, your risk goes down exponentially.”

Global Guardian CEO Dale Buckner joined NBC News to discuss ongoing evacuation efforts in the Middle East and how Global Guardian teams are helping move clients out of the region through coordinated ground corridors and regional airports as conditions continue to evolve.

Buckner explained that mobility is critical in conflict zones, noting that Global Guardian teams are consolidating clients along key ground corridors and coordinating onward travel through multiple regional airports. He emphasized the importance of clear expectation management—including border crossing times, documentation requirements and transportation logistics—as organizations work to move employees and families out of the region safely. 

 

 

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Global Guardian's Dale Buckner Featured in Fox News

MIDDLE EAST CRUISE NIGHTMARE DEEPENS AS IRAN AIRSTRIKES LEAVE PASSENGERS STRANDED

“Right now, the biggest danger is direct fire or debris from Iranian missiles and drones. Iran has targeted the airports and prominent hotels.”

As escalating conflict in the Middle East disrupted cruise itineraries and stranded thousands of travelers across the region, Fox News spoke with Global Guardian CEO Dale Buckner about the risks facing passengers trying to return home.

Buckner noted that evacuations present complex logistical challenges, particularly as travelers move through overwhelmed border crossings and limited transportation routes, including congestion at UAE–Oman land crossings as authorities manage a surge of people attempting to exit affected areas.

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Global Guardian's Seth Krummrich Featured on ABC News

“My number one concern right now is the Iranian regime's ability to create havoc across the Gulf and affect many Western and U.S. travelers and business interests.”

Global Guardian VP of Client Risk Management Seth Krummrich joined ABC News to discuss the escalating conflict in the Middle East and the growing risks facing travelers, multinational companies, and global markets.

During the interview, Krummrich warned that Iran retains the capability to disrupt the region—including key transit routes like the Strait of Hormuz—with potential ripple effects for global markets. He also noted that Global Guardian has evacuated many clients and travelers from the Gulf region in recent days as demand for support continues to surge.
 

 

 

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Iranian Retaliation Slows as Missile Launch Capabilities are Degraded

Open-source trackers estimate steeply declining launch numbers of ballistic missiles targeting the Gulf states and Israel. Day one of the conflict saw Iran launch some 350 missiles with declining barrages since then. Day two: 175; day three: 120; day four: 50. This is likely due to significant destruction of mobile launchers by the U.S. and Israel and Iran "rationing" their missile stockpile in anticipation of an extended conflict. Drone attacks remain consistent; however, Gulf states continue to intercept the majority of both drones and missiles.

Israel struck the meeting of 88 members of the Supreme Council who were gathering in Qom to decide the next Supreme Leader. As such, no official decision was reached or declared by Iran, though rumors persist that the son of the late Ayatollah, Mojtaba Khamenei, was not killed in strikes and is slated to become the next Supreme Leader. This has only been reported by Israeli media and Iranian opposition groups, with no confirmation from Iran itself.

President Trump ordered the U.S. Development Finance Corporation (DFC) to provide risk insurance and guarantees for shippers and shipping insurance companies to continue moving in and out of the Strait of Hormuz. The U.S. Navy will escort tankers through the Strait and provide protection.

While Iran continues to attack the Gulf states and Israel, it has increased focus on Iraq and the Kurdish regions after reports emerged that the U.S. CIA has been arming and preparing Kurdish militia for possible ground conflict against the regime. The IRGC claims ground forces entered Iraqi Kurdistan with 200+ drones. While Iranian drone strikes have targeted Kurdish militia around Erbil, there has been no confirmation of Iranian troops in Iraqi Kurdistan. Erbil airport and the U.S. airbase there continue to come under drone attack.

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Regional Energy, Shipping, and Aviation Disruptions Persist amid Possible Four to Five-Week Campaign

Iran continued to target oil and gas, shipping, and aviation infrastructure in the region primarily with Shahed drones but also ballistic missiles. The Gulf states have intercepted hundreds of projectiles over the past 24 hours, however, some slipped through, causing damage to ports, U.S. embassies, tankers, and energy infrastructure. This has caused closures or suspension of operations at multiple ports and petrochemical sites in Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Bahrain, and Qatar. The airport and U.S. airbase in Erbil, Iraq came under heavy air attack. It remains open but effectively non-operational for commercial traffic.

President Trump outlined four war goals: destroy missiles, annihilate the navy, block nukes, and stop proxy funding. He announced the conflict could go on for four to five weeks and that the U.S. had yet to launch its biggest wave of attacks targeting Iran. At least 17 fuel tanker aircraft left the U.S. headed for the Middle East in the last 24 hours. President Trump did not rule out boots on the ground.

The IRGC now claims the Strait of Hormuz is closed (it had been effectively closed) and threatened any vessels trying to transit. Multiple tankers have been hit both in the Strait and docked at ports, including a U.S. flagged fuel tanker at a port in Bahrain enrolled in the U.S. Navy's Tanker Security Program, a fleet of commercial ships that can supply fuel to the Navy during conflict.

A U.S. State Department spokesperson issued a message on X urging American citizens to leave 14 countries in the region while commercial means remain available. This did not translate into Level 4: Do Not Travel warnings for all of the countries, some of which were already at Level 4. The U.S. embassies in Bahrain and Iraq issued evacuation orders for non-emergency staff and their families.

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Iran Targets Energy Infrastructure in the Region

Iran took another step up the escalation ladder by targeting energy infrastructure in the Gulf, including the Ras Tanura refinery in Saudi Arabia. Qatar suspended LNG production at its North Field, while multiple ports in the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Bahrain, and Oman halted operations.

Further west, Iranian drones impacted the UKs RAF Akrotiri base on the island of Cyprus. The UK confirmed minor damage to the runway. Additional drone threats prompted evacuations at Paphos International Airport (PFO) and the Akrotiri district. The UK and Greece sent military reinforcements.

Iran's primary proxy group, Hezbollah, entered the conflict by launching missiles and drone swarms at Israel's military base near Haifa. Israel responded by launching a large air campaign in southern Lebanon and the southern suburbs of Beirut targeting Hezbollah leadership and assets. Israel issued evacuation orders for more than 50 villages in southern Lebanon. Israel warned that this campaign will last several days.

In Pakistan, thousands of largely Shia, pro‑Iran demonstrators marched on the U.S. Consulate in Karachi, breaching the outer gate and attempting to storm the compound. Security forces (consulate guards and police) used tear gas, rubber bullets, and live fire. Reported fatalities in Karachi range from about 10 to at least 23 killed, with 50–60+ injured. Other protests were reported in Gilgit-Baltistan, Islamabad, and Lahore.

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Global Guardian's Dale Buckner Featured in The Wall Street Journal

COMPANIES RACE TO REASSURE AND RELOCATE EMPLOYEES CAUGHT IN MIDDLE EAST CONFLICT

“Do not bunker in place. There are options. This could go a lot longer than we think.” 

As multinational companies scrambled to protect employees amid escalating conflict in the Middle East, The Wall Street Journal reported on Global Guardian’s large-scale evacuation and crisis response operations.

As of Sunday afternoon, Global Guardian had conducted 21 evacuation missions moving more than 700 people by ground and air from Israel and the Gulf region, underscoring the importance of proactive contingency planning in dynamic threat environments.

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