AS ISRAEL INTENSIFIES LEBANON ATTACKS, HEZBOLLAH DISARMAMENT TAKES BACKSEAT

“At best, we can expect arrest warrants and raids—but not head-to-head fighting with foot soldiers.”

As Israel intensifies attacks in Lebanon and Hezbollah resumes fighting, Al Jazeera examined how the renewed escalation is complicating the Lebanese government’s efforts to disarm the group.

Global Guardian Vice President of Client Risk Management Seth Krummrich explained that the army is unlikely to directly confront Hezbollah battalions. Instead, he said any enforcement actions would more likely involve limited arrests or raids rather than direct battlefield engagements.

“It’s a combination of ground and air—moving people across borders to safe locations and then getting them onto private or commercial flights.”

As evacuation operations continue across the Middle East, Fox Business spoke with Global Guardian CEO Dale Buckner about the logistics behind safely moving thousands of travelers out of the region.

Buckner explained that Global Guardian teams have coordinated ground convoys and charter aircraft to relocate people from high-risk areas into neighboring countries and functional airports where they can continue their journey home.

PRIVATE SECURITY FIRM HELPING AMERICANS EVACUATE THE MIDDLE EAST AMID WAR WITH IRAN

"We’re communicating, we’re coordinating, we’re executing."

As Americans and other travelers seek ways to leave the Middle East amid the escalating conflict with Iran, Fox News reported on Global Guardian’s evacuation operations and the logistical coordination required to move people out of the region.

Global Guardian CEO Dale Buckner and Deputy Vice President of Operations Colin O’Brien described the complex coordination required to move travelers out of high-risk areas, including arranging ground transportation across borders and securing onward flights as conditions continue to shift.

“It is a constant battle of where to take people. It’s working out which country they can go to while also managing the puzzle of nationalities and visa restrictions.”

As evacuation demand surged across the Middle East, NewsNation spoke with Global Guardian Deputy Vice President of Operations Colin O’Brien about the logistical challenges teams are navigating to move travelers and corporate personnel out of the region.

O’Brien explained that constantly shifting airspace closures, visa requirements, and nationality restrictions make evacuation planning a complex, real-time process as Global Guardian works to relocate clients from high-risk areas to safer locations.

Iran named Mojtaba Khamenei as supreme leader on 08 March after the killing of his father, Ali Khamenei, at the start of the conflict. Mojtaba is seen as a hardliner who is unlikely to negotiate with the U.S. He had previously served in Iran's armed forces and fought in the Iran–Iraq war. Israel's defense minister said last week that whoever was chosen as Ali Khamenei's successor would be "an unequivocal target for elimination." U.S. President Donald Trump said that anyone selected to lead Iran without their approval would "not last long."

In an apparent escalation of targets, Iran accused the U.S. of striking Iran's freshwater desalination plant on Qeshm Island in the Strait of Hormuz on Saturday, 07 March. Iran retaliated in kind by causing "material damage" to one of Bahrain's desalination plants the following day. Targeting of such critical infrastructure could endanger every resident in impacted areas and increases the chance of Gulf states officially entering the conflict against Iran.

On 08 March, the U.S. State Department ordered the evacuation of non-emergency personnel and family from Saudi Arabia, indicating it anticipates further targeting. It also ordered the departure of non-emergency staff and family from the U.S. Consulate in Adana, Turkey, and urged citizens in southeastern Turkey to leave amid increased threat from Iran. Incirlik Air Base is near Adana and is a major joint U.S.–Turkish base. This comes after Turkey announced it would deploy six F-16 fighter jets and air defense systems to Turkish-administered Northern Cyprus.

Conflicting statements and denials of attacks out of Iran indicate their Command and Control (C2) structure remains disrupted, with IRGC commanders and missile and drone outposts operating off a pre-determined targeting program, and not with direct approval from current leadership.

The U.S., UK, France, Germany, Canada, and other countries are ramping up their evacuation operations and preparations in the region but continue to deal with disruptions. An Air France plane heading to the United Arab Emirates (UAE) to pick up stranded French citizens was forced to turn back amid Iranian missile fire. The U.S. claims to have moved nearly 20,000 people out of the region. The UK, France, and Germany are preparing to possibly evacuate 100,000, 400,000, and 30,000 citizens, respectively.

Airspace remains closed in much of the region; however, commercial flights out of the UAE are gradually coming back online as the country operates a reduced flight schedule, with departures occurring only when deemed safe amid ongoing Iranian missile and drone attacks. In the past 24 hours, approximately 400 commercial flights (previously cancelled services and repatriation flights) have taken place.

Separately, energy prices are elevated as the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed. Qatar's Minister of State for Energy Affairs and the CEO of QatarEnergy, Saad Sherida al-Kaabi, said in an interview with the Financial Times that crude oil prices could surge to $150 per barrel within the next two to three weeks if the current regional conflict persists.