"If [Iran] had the ballistic missiles ready to go, those strikes could happen in under 15 minutes. Launched to target."
In a new article in The Hill, Global Guardian Vice President, Client Risk Management Seth Krummrich provided his perspective on what the ramifications are of the U.S. decision to bomb Iran's nuclear sites and engage in war over the weekend.
On 21 June 2025, President Trump announced that the U.S. had successfully carried out strikes on Iran's three nuclear sites at Fordow, Isfahan, and Natanz. This followed the deployment of B-2 bombers from Missouri earlier in the day and comes just a few days after President Trump said he would decide on U.S. intervention within two weeks. The strikes portend a likely Iranian response targeting U.S. military bases in the region. Reconsider all travel to the Middle East in the coming days and weeks as the situation remains extremely fluid.
The U.S. military has repositioned aircraft and some naval vessels out of bases in the region in the last week—including repositioning naval ships from the port in Bahrain (home to the U.S. Navy’s 5th Fleet) and moving aircraft lacking hardened shelter from Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar. This was in anticipation of an Iranian response should the U.S. get involved.
The U.S. has also moved fighter jets and refueling tankers to strategic locations, including Greece, England, Spain, Saudi Arabia, and Germany. The USS Carl Vinson aircraft carrier is in the Arabian Sea along with four warships and will be joined shortly by the USS Nimitz—long scheduled to take over for the Carl Vinson—and is heading west from the Indo-Pacific region toward the Middle East.
"Initially, Israel focused primarily on military and nuclear targets. If Israel does not achieve the effects it wants, it will expand its target sets to increase the pain and force the Iranian regime to change its behavior."
In Newsweek, Global Guardian Vice President of Client Risk Management Seth Krummrich weighed in on the raging conflict between Israel and Iran, and what comes next between the two countries and beyond.
“Cheap drones smuggled deep into Russia destroy priceless and rare Russian strategic bombers. Ukraine is outthinking and outmaneuvering the slow and large Russian military.”
In a new piece on Al Jazeera, Global Guardian's Vice President of Client Risk Management Seth Krummrich provided insight into how Ukraine's surprise drone attack inside Russia may have drastically changed Russia's outlook on the war.
""Diplomatic channels can be fast or slow... Our focus right now is completely on evacuating people out of the country."
Global Guardian's VP of Global Operations, Spencer Tadken, spoke with WJLA ABC 7 about the role the company has played in evacuating people out of Israel during the recent conflict with Iran.
In Global Guardian's monthly Risk Barometer, our Intelligence Team highlights current global hotspots with the potential to impact your business operations and travel. Read below for analysis on the threats we are closely monitoring this month and click here to subscribe for regular intelligence updates.
On 17 June 2025, President Trump threatened Iran's Supreme Leader over social media, urging "unconditional surrender," as the situation continues to escalate. The previous day, the United States (U.S.) Embassy in Jerusalem issued a Security Alert directing U.S. government employees and their families to continue sheltering in place until further notice. The Security Alert states: "The U.S. Embassy is not in a position at this time to evacuate or directly assist Americans in departing Israel."
Israel's airspace remains closed, with no commercial or charter flights operating. El Al and Sundor flights departing Israel are cancelled until 23 June. Seaports in Israel are also closed. On 18 June, limited El Al repatriation flights to Israel are scheduled from Larnaca, Athens, Rome, Milan, and Paris, but no outbound passenger flights will operate. Israel's land crossings with Jordan and Egypt remain open.
"You have to look at it from the perspective of, what would it take to have a successful evacuation or hostage rescue happen from this facility? That would need to happen before you put diplomats in; you have to make sure that the physical security is completely understood."
In the Washington Examiner, Global Guardian Vice President of Client Risk Management Seth Krummrich provided insight into what needs to happen before the United States would re-open its long-shuttered embassy in Syria.
"Israel is going to take away the voice of Iran, talking to their people, and replace it with their voice. And it’s going to force Iran to make some tough choices.”
Global Guardian VP of Client Risk Management, Seth Krummrich, again joined ABC News to share his expert analysis on the evolving conflict between Israel and Iran. In his latest appearance, Seth explains how Israel’s air dominance over Tehran—and efforts to disrupt Iran’s internal communications—could shift public sentiment and destabilize the regime’s grip on information.
“At some point, as the emotions die down and they [Iran] have to look at the longevity—or what their number one goal is, which is survival—I believe it will shape them back to the negotiating table.”
Global Guardian’s Vice President of Client Risk Management,Seth Krummrich, joinedABC Newsto share expert insights on the unfolding situation in the Middle East—including Israel’s recent strikes and Iran’s retaliatory actions. Drawing on his extensive experience in the Middle East, Seth brought both clarity and strategic perspective to the conversation, outlining the current dynamics and what may come next.
