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On 04 March, the Italian government announced that all schools and universities nationwide would be closed for two weeks in an effort to curb the spread of COVID-19.

Over 2500 cases have been reported across the country, with the majority of outbreak clusters concentrated in the northern regions of Lombardy and Veneto. Growing numbers of cases in Germany, France, Spain, and Switzerland have health authorities worried that Europe will be the next major outbreak zone.     

First cases have been reported in Romania, Poland, Chile, Argentina, and Liechtenstein. The majority of these cases were imported from regions of ongoing community outbreak such as Iran, Italy, Japan, and South Korea. 

South Korea and Iran continue to record hundreds of new cases per day. In South Korea, those leaving to travel to the U.S. will be screened at the airport in Korea. If the traveler has a fever of 99.5 or above, they will not be allowed to board.

In Iran, multiple cabinet officials have contracted the virus, including possibly the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, who was in the same room as the Deputy Health Minister who later tested positive for the virus. In response to the outbreak, Iran has freed 54,000 prisoners in an effort to halt the spread among the prison population. 

While the majority of cases are still found in mainland China, international concern has shifted to South Korea, Japan, Iran, and Europe now as the Italian outbreak appears to be spreading to the rest of the continent. 

What we know:

  • 94,250 confirmed cases worldwide
  • 3,214 deaths
  • 51,026 recovered
  • Major spread areas are now outside China

Multiple airlines and countries have instituted travel restrictions on China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, Italy, Singapore, Thailand, Iran and other countries with recorded community spread (not strictly imported cases). This list is changing constantly as governments and airlines act out of an abundance of caution.

GG_CoronaVirusMapGraphic v15

GG_CoronaVirusMapGraphic v152


The U.S. State Dept. has issued guidance not to travel to China, Iran, and parts of Italy and South Korea due to the outbreak. In addition, Global Guardian recommends the following:

  • Avoid all travel to mainland China and Iran.
  • Avoid non-essential travel to South Korea, Japan, and Italy.
  • Reconsider non-essential travel to Hong Kong, Singapore, and other APAC countries with known community outbreaks.
  • Do not go on a cruise in the APAC region.
  • If remaining in a city with known COVID-19 cases, practice advanced careful hygiene measures, including frequent hand washing and sanitizing.

While trends in China are overall positive, the surge in cases in South Korea, Japan, Iran, and Italy are concerning and may be a precursor to serious outbreaks in Germany, France, and Spain where each country now has more around or more than 200 confirmed cases.

See below graphs from Worldometers highlighting rapid growth of cases outside China:

coronavirus 04 march graph 2

coronavirus 04 march graph


Global Guardian is closely monitoring the situation. To request additional support or learn more about pricing on customized daily, weekly, or monthly intelligence reports tailored to your organization’s interests, please reach out to our security analysts by clicking below. 

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