--- title: 2025 Global Risk Map description: Global Guardian's 2025 Global Risk Map highlights security risk ratings by country. image: https://www.globalguardian.com/hubfs/GG%20RiskMap2024%20Email%206-38.png --- [+1 (703) 566-9463](tel:+17035669463) | [Emergency Support](https://www.globalguardian.com//emergency-support?hsLang=en) [![GG Logo Main White](https://www.globalguardian.com/hs-fs/hubfs/GlobalGuardian_Oct2019/Logos/GG%20Logo%20Main%20White.png?width=208&height=45&name=GG%20Logo%20Main%20White.png "GG Logo Main White")](https://globalguardian.com?hsLang=en) - [Corporate ](https://www.globalguardian.com/corporate-solutions) - [Personal ](https://www.globalguardian.com/personal-solutions) - [Government](https://www.globalguardian.com/government-solutions) - [Outcomes](https://www.globalguardian.com/case-studies) - [ Travel Security ](https://www.globalguardian.com/case-studies?topic=Traveler%20Security) - [ Executive Protection ](https://www.globalguardian.com/case-studies?topic=Executive%20Protection%20and%20Transportation) - [ Emergency Response ](https://www.globalguardian.com/case-studies?topic=Emergency%20Response) - [ Medical Assistance ](https://www.globalguardian.com/case-studies?topic=Medical%20Assistance) - [ Event Security ](https://www.globalguardian.com/case-studies?topic=Event%20Security) - [ Video Surveillance ](https://www.globalguardian.com/case-studies?topic=Asset%20Security) - Learn - [ Global Digest ](https://www.globalguardian.com/global-digest) - [ Newsroom ](https://www.globalguardian.com/newsroom) - [ Webinars ](https://www.globalguardian.com/media-room#t4) - [ Global Guardian Academy ](https://academy.globalguardian.com/) - [ FAQ ](https://www.globalguardian.com/faq) - Company - [ About Global Guardian ](https://www.globalguardian.com/about-global-guardian) - [ Executive Leadership ](https://www.globalguardian.com/executive-leadership) - [ Menu of Services ](https://www.globalguardian.com/service-menu) - [ Global Coverage ](https://www.globalguardian.com/global-coverage) - [ Contact Us ](https://www.globalguardian.com/contact) - [ Careers ](https://www.globalguardian.com/careers) [![Request Security](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/2233164/aecafd49-7abe-4a80-95c2-e37dbbacda44.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/2233164/aecafd49-7abe-4a80-95c2-e37dbbacda44) # 2025 GLOBAL RISK Map + Geostrategic Stress Index [![down-arrow-icon](https://www.globalguardian.com/hubfs/GlobalGuardian_Oct2019/Icons/arrow-down-white.svg)](https://www.globalguardian.com/risk-map-2025#next) ![video background image](https://www.globalguardian.com/hubfs/GG%20RiskMap%202025%20Landing%20Page%20v2-2.jpg) This year’s Global Risk Map, Global Guardian highlights country-specific security risk ratings based on a series of indicators including crime, health, natural disasters, infrastructure, political stability, civil unrest, and terrorism. In 2025, the global risk landscape will be shaped by overt and gray zone interstate conflict, economic and sectarian-fueled unrest, transnational organized narco-crime, and terrorism — all with the potential to impact multinational organizations and their people. The 2025 Global Risk Map also features the Geostrategic Stress Index (GSI) map based on a predictive model that shows which countries are most likely to undergo a polycrisis* in the next five years driven by geostrategic concerns. This map attributes a Low to Extreme categorical risk rating that indicates the likelihood of a local crisis taking on regional or global dimensions. **Global issues — intensifying geopolitical competition, economic distress, climate change, and transnational crime — that exacerbate local crises and vice versa.* Geostrategic Stress Index **Map last updated September 2024* ## Global RISK Map | ![GG RiskMap 2024 Landing Page v1-02](https://www.globalguardian.com/hs-fs/hubfs/GG%20RiskMap%202024%20Landing%20Page%20v1-02.png?width=150&height=48&name=GG%20RiskMap%202024%20Landing%20Page%20v1-02.png) | Countries classified as Extreme Risk are actively engaged in conflict, while also experiencing severe criminal activity and civil unrest. These countries are insecure; state institutions are too weak to manage militant groups or large-scale disasters. | | --- | --- | | ![GG RiskMap 2024 Landing Page v1-03](https://www.globalguardian.com/hs-fs/hubfs/GG%20RiskMap%202024%20Landing%20Page%20v1-03.png?width=148&height=48&name=GG%20RiskMap%202024%20Landing%20Page%20v1-03.png) | Countries classified as High Risk experience regular conflict, criminal activity, or civil unrest. These countries have weak institutions and are incapable of effectively managing crises. | | ![GG RiskMap 2024 Landing Page v1-04](https://www.globalguardian.com/hs-fs/hubfs/GG%20RiskMap%202024%20Landing%20Page%20v1-04.png?width=150&height=48&name=GG%20RiskMap%202024%20Landing%20Page%20v1-04.png) | Countries classified as Medium Risk are not fully secure. Political instability and inadequate law enforcement make these countries vulnerable to criminality and sporadic unrest. State institutions are often ill-equipped to manage crises. | | ![GG RiskMap 2024 Landing Page v1-05](https://www.globalguardian.com/hs-fs/hubfs/GG%20RiskMap%202024%20Landing%20Page%20v1-05.png?width=150&height=48&name=GG%20RiskMap%202024%20Landing%20Page%20v1-05.png) | Countries classified as Moderate Risk are considered resilient. These countries are capable of quickly and effectively managing most crises and threats to personal security, but criminal activity, terrorism, and natural disasters can impact travel or in-country operations. | | ![GG RiskMap 2024 Landing Page v1-06](https://www.globalguardian.com/hs-fs/hubfs/GG%20RiskMap%202024%20Landing%20Page%20v1-06.png?width=150&height=48&name=GG%20RiskMap%202024%20Landing%20Page%20v1-06.png) | Countries classified as Low Risk are considered highly stable. These countries maintain a strong rule of law and are capable of containing threats to safety and security. |      [![Download Maps](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/2233164/050101e7-3c6f-4ae2-ba34-8da4ce8c5fc7.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/2233164/050101e7-3c6f-4ae2-ba34-8da4ce8c5fc7)   [![READ SUMMARY & KEY TAKEAWAYS](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/2233164/5d96b298-b5a9-4063-9236-366d6867e981.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/2233164/5d96b298-b5a9-4063-9236-366d6867e981)     **Map last updated September 2024* ## Geostrategic Stress Index  | Ratings indicate a country or territory’s likelihood of experiencing significant destabilization in the next 5-10 years. | | --- | | ![GG RiskMap 2025 Landing Page v2-07](https://www.globalguardian.com/hs-fs/hubfs/GG%20RiskMap%202025%20Landing%20Page%20v2-07.png?width=148&height=48&name=GG%20RiskMap%202025%20Landing%20Page%20v2-07.png)   | Countries classified as extreme risk are either already experiencing one or more highly destabilizing dynamics or are expected to in the near term. | | --- | --- | | ![GG RiskMap 2025 Landing Page v2-08](https://www.globalguardian.com/hs-fs/hubfs/GG%20RiskMap%202025%20Landing%20Page%20v2-08.png?width=148&height=48&name=GG%20RiskMap%202025%20Landing%20Page%20v2-08.png)   | Countries classified as high risk are highly susceptible to destabilizing dynamics, and it is probable that their current fragility will be exacerbated by foreign influence. | | ![GG RiskMap 2025 Landing Page v2-09](https://www.globalguardian.com/hs-fs/hubfs/GG%20RiskMap%202025%20Landing%20Page%20v2-09.png?width=148&height=48&name=GG%20RiskMap%202025%20Landing%20Page%20v2-09.png)   | Countries classified as medium risk either feature low geostrategic significance with weak domestic institutions or countries with high geostrategic importance with strong domestic institutions and endogenous capabilities. China, Russia, and multiple middle powers are included in this category despite their robust security and political capabilities due to the potential for domestic ruptures. | | ![GG RiskMap 2025 Landing Page v2-10](https://www.globalguardian.com/hs-fs/hubfs/GG%20RiskMap%202025%20Landing%20Page%20v2-10.png?width=148&height=48&name=GG%20RiskMap%202025%20Landing%20Page%20v2-10.png)   | Countries classified as moderate risk are not necessarily susceptible to the exacerbation of domestic instability. But some moderate risk countries proximate to high or extreme risk countries are in danger of spillover. | | ![GG RiskMap 2025 Landing Page v2-11](https://www.globalguardian.com/hs-fs/hubfs/GG%20RiskMap%202025%20Landing%20Page%20v2-11.png?width=150&height=48&name=GG%20RiskMap%202025%20Landing%20Page%20v2-11.png)   | Countries classified as low risk are** **either highly stable, do not have natural resources or geographies that incentivize foreign influence, have robust endogenous capabilities that mitigate the potential for foreign interference and domestic unrest, or some combination thereof. | | ![GG RiskMap 2025 Landing Page v2-12](https://www.globalguardian.com/hs-fs/hubfs/GG%20RiskMap%202025%20Landing%20Page%20v2-12.png?width=150&height=48&name=GG%20RiskMap%202025%20Landing%20Page%20v2-12.png)   | Countries classified as No Data do not have the requisite data to produce complete results. | | **Definition of Terms** Combativity: The amount of per capita civil unrest multiplied by the proportion of violent unrest. | | --- | | **Sources: **GG Research Team, [SIPRI](https://armstransfers.sipri.org/ArmsTransfer/), [Global Firepower](https://www.globalfirepower.com/countries-listing.php), World Bank, Statista, US Geological Survey, International Renewable Energy Agency, U.S. Department of Energy, World Gold Council, [The Fund for Peace – Fragile States Index](https://fragilestatesindex.org/), [ACLED](https://acleddata.com/) |      [![Download Maps](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/2233164/050101e7-3c6f-4ae2-ba34-8da4ce8c5fc7.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/2233164/050101e7-3c6f-4ae2-ba34-8da4ce8c5fc7)   [![READ SUMMARY & KEY TAKEAWAYS](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/2233164/5d96b298-b5a9-4063-9236-366d6867e981.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/2233164/5d96b298-b5a9-4063-9236-366d6867e981)      ## Geostrategic Stress Index: Regional Analyses Our Intelligence Team highlights five regions at risk of destabilization in the next five years as determined by the Geostrategic Stress Index model. Click each section below to read the full analysis of that region. Venezuela & Guyana Cameroon Serbia & Kosovo Papua New Guinea New Caledonia ## Global Guardian Duty of Care Global Guardian provides comprehensive security and medical support, risk mitigation, and emergency response for every client's needs—both domestically and overseas. ### 24/7 Operations Center Support Connect with highly experienced professionals in our U.S.-based Global Security Operations Centers for pre-travel advice and real-time response in any emergency situation [ Learn More ](https://www.globalguardian.com/corporate-solutions/duty-of-care-membership-old?hsLang=en) ### World-Class Medical Support Receive 24/7 medical support from board-certified physicians, including medical intelligence and hospital referrals, emergency prescription assistance, and medical translation services. 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