On 04 April, President Trump on Truth Social reiterated the ten-day ultimatum issued on 26 March to Iran to make a deal or reopen the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours or "all Hell will reign down." A day later President Trump posted on Truth Social saying "Tuesday, 8:00 P.M. Eastern Time!" indicating a 24-hour extension of the deadline. He threatened power plants and bridges, telling Iran, "Open the Fuckin’ Strait, you crazy bastards, or you’ll be living in Hell - JUST WATCH! Praise be to Allah." Iran responded by rejecting the ultimatum and issued its own warning saying, "the gates of hell will open for you." Iran continues to demand a ceasefire as a prerequisite step to talks. The U.S. ultimatum, Iranian rejection, and extension of the deadline follow a familiar pattern since the U.S. first threatened to take out Iran's power plants on 21 March. Given the escalating rhetoric, it is more likely than not that the U.S. follows through on its latest rounds of threats.
Over the weekend, the U.S. successfully rescued multiple aircraft crew who were shot down over the region. The Weapons Systems Officer of a downed F-15 was rescued by U.S. commandos after 36 hours behind enemy lines. The operation involved hundreds of special forces personnel, dozens of aircraft, and a CIA deception plan. President Trump will host a briefing on the operation today at 1:00 pm ET.
Both Japan and the Philippines have reportedly engaged with Iran to secure safe passage of tankers. Both rely heavily on oil from the Gulf. On 04 April, a second Japan-affiliated tanker passed through the Strait of Hormuz. At least 40 more vessels tied to Japan remain stuck in the Strait. Iran also granted Iraq permission to transit the Strait.
Iran and the U.S.-Israel alliance continue to trade strikes. Tehran, Qom, Ahvaz, and Asaluyeh bore the brunt of strikes over the past 48 hours. Early Monday, both Iranian and Israeli statements confirmed that Major General Seyyed Majid Khademi, the IRGC intelligence chief, was killed in a strike in the capital. Israel struck Iran's largest petrochemical complex in Asaluyeh, rendering it inoperable. Gulf states continued to deal with Iranian drones and missiles.
Situation Report
- 06 April: Iran rejected a temporary ceasefire proposal from regional mediators that laid out a 45-day ceasefire and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.
- 06 April: Iranian drone struck a telecommunications company building in Fujairah, UAE.
- 06 April: Production operations were suspended after damage sustained at Borouge petrochemicals plant in the Ruwais Industrial Area of Abu Dhabi, UAE, after an Iranian strike on Sunday.
- 05 April: Damage assessment is ongoing at GPIC petrochemicals plant in Bahrain, following Iranian drone attack.
- 05 April: Iran strikes a BAPCO oil refinery in Ma'ameer, Bahrain.
- 05 April: Iranian drones hit two Kuwaiti power and desalination plants as well as the Shuwaikh oil sector complex in Kuwait City. Separate drone strikes targeted the complex that houses the headquarters of various Kuwaiti government ministries. A drone attack caused a fire to break out at Shuaiba oil field.
- 04 April: Iran says the Israel Electric Company, Saudi Arabia's Marafiq utility company, UAE's TAQA power generation company and QatarEnergy are "legitimate targets" due to U.S.-Israeli strikes on its petrochemical facilities.
- 04 April: Iranian missile debris fell on a building belonging to U.S.-based Oracle Corporation in Dubai's Internet City area.
Airspace Status
- Bahrain: airspace closed
- Iran: airspace closed
- Iraq: airspace closed
- Kuwait: airspace closed
- Qatar: airspace partially closed/heavily restricted
- Israel: airspace heavily restricted
- Syria: airspace heavily restricted
- Lebanon: airspace restricted
- UAE: airspace restricted
- Cyprus: airspace open
- Egypt: airspace open
- Jordan: airspace open
- Oman: airspace open
- Saudi Arabia: airspace open
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